The Rockall risk scoring system is based on clinical criteria including age, shock and presence of other comorbidities. The scoring system helps evaluate patients at risk of re-bleeding or death following acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The 1996 study recognized key independent risk factors which were later shown to predict mortality accurately. A commonly used mnemonic is ABCDE - (Age, Blood pressure fall (shock), Co-morbidity, Diagnosis and Evidence of bleeding). It is important to assess patients at admission to determine bleeding severity and the potential risk of death. Key independent risk factors:
Parameter
Finding
Points
Age
< 60 years
0
60 79 years
1
> 80 years
2
Shock
"No shock"; systolic blood pressure >= 100 mm Hg and pulse < 100 beats per minute
"Tachycardia"; systolic blood pressure >= 100 mm Hg and pulse >= 100 beats per minute
"Hypotension"; systolic blood pressure < 100 mm Hg
Comorbidity
no major comorbidity
hear failure, ischemic heart disease, or any major comorbidity
renal failure, liver failure, disseminated malignancy
3
Diagnosis at endoscopy
No lesion identified and no sign of recent hemorrhage
Mallory-Weiss tear
All other diagnoses
Malignancy of upper GI tract
Major stigmata of recent hemorrhage
None
Dark spot only
Blood in upper GI tract, adherent clot, visible or spurting blood
Score Prior to Endoscopy
Mortality
0.2%
2.4%
5.6%
11.0%
4
24.6%
5
39.6%
6
48.9%
7
50.0%
Post Endoscopy
Rebleed
Total Death
Death with No Rebleed
Death with Rebleed
4.9%
0%
3.4%
5.3%
0.3%
11.2%
2.9%
2.0%
10.0%
14.1%
3.5%
15.8%
24.1%
10.8%
8.1%
22.9%
32.9%
17.3%
9.5%
33.3%
43.8%
27.0%
14.9%
43.4%
8 - 11
41.8%
41.1%
28.1%
52.5%